Oil Back Above $100: The Market Isn’t Just Pricing Barrels — It’s Pricing Fragility Oil moving back above $100 after fresh Iranian strikes is one of those ...
The Strait of Hormuz Risk Is Back on the Screen — and Investors Should Treat It Like a Portfolio Stress Test One of the most market-relevant stories in the ...
The IEA Just Put a Timestamp on the Worst-Case Energy Scenario — Investors Should Pay Attention One line from the Financial Times stopped me in my tracks this ...
Oil is trying to do two contradictory things at once: price a world that feels more dangerous, and p
Oil is trying to do two contradictory things at once: price a world that feels more dangerous, and price a set of headlines that hint the danger might peak ...
Oil, shipping lanes, and the “second-order” risks investors keep underestimating If you’ve been reading me for a while, you’ll know I’m not obsessed with ...
Markets Right Now: When the Map Changes, Not Just the Weather If you’ve been reading my notes for a while, you’ll know I’m less interested in daily price ...
If you’ve been with me for a while, you know I try to separate “loud” from “important.” This week, t
If you’ve been with me for a while, you know I try to separate “loud” from “important.” This week, the market is loud. But it’s loud for a reason: we’re ...
The market isn’t “volatile” right now in the casual sense. It’s volatile in the structural sense: the plumbing of global trade, energy, and credit is being ...
Markets right now feel like they’re living at the intersection of geopolitics, energy, and an AI-driven growth story—and investors everywhere are being forced ...
Growing up in Barbados, I learned early on that while we might be small, we’re never isolated from the global tides. A storm in the US or Europe could affect ...
After taking a step back from the markets for a while, I wasn’t expecting to return in the middle of such dramatic volatility. But here we are — with global ...
It's been quite a while since my last post. The reason for the lack of posts isn't because there hasn't been much to write about - I just haven't had the ...